Seeing the British Middle Class turn into experts on Middle Eastern foreign policy because their favourite hotels in Dubai has been bombed in the latest escalation between Iran and the West has been interesting. Apparently it has “brought the conflict a little closer to home” conveniently forgetting the war that’s been waging on the European continent for the last four years. To be fair, the average Brit is more likely to have spent time in Dubai than the Donbas, so I can’t stand on my high horse too much.
Last year, myself and a few of my family attended a sit down session with legendary BBC journalist John Simpson at the Marlowe Theatre in Canterbury. At the end of his various anecdotes from various dispatches around the world, he held a Q+A where we all got the opportunity to ask a question via a QR code. Out of the hundreds of questions he was asked, only nine or ten were answered. One of them being mine,
“Out of all the places you’ve been, which country had the friendliest people?”
John laughed, his eyes beamed, and his smile went from ear to ear as he knew instantly his answer.
“You won’t believe this,” he started “but Iran” he said as the audience made a quiet, but noticeable, gasp.
I, however, was not in the least surprised by his answer. Having travelled to the Middle East I was already aware of the incredible hospitality of the people in the region. I have also met numerous people who have travelled to Iran on my travels who have also said the same thing. While the hospitality of the Iraqis, for me, was unmatched, I have heard that the hospitality of the Iranian people is on another level not quite comprehensible to most people unless they have been there.
John Simpson went on to tell a rather funny, but heartwarming, story about his time on the ground in Iran during the Islamic Revolution in 1979. Faced with a frothing at the mouth protestor screaming "Death to America, Death to Britain!" Simpson approached him, stated he was a journalist from Britain, and wanted to speak to him. Upon hearing that Simpson was a visitor in his country, the frothing protestor immediately dropped to his knees, grabbed his hand, and welcomed him to Iran and even offered him tea (my memory is hazy so forgive me John Simpson if you ever read this and it is not an accurate recollection of the story you told, but most people will get the gist).
While it is the regime that has been hit in this latest escalation. The instability this lack of leadership will inevitably cause will not just affect Iranians, it will affect the wider region and, in the end, us here in Europe and the West too. The Ayatollah was no angel and the pretext of stopping a nuclear programme has eerily similar themes to the pretext of the War in Iraq, in which America and the West ultimately got themselves tangled up in 20 years of guerilla warfare which we are only just recovering from. When that argument fails, saying "well Saddam/the Ayatollah was pretty bad too" is still not an excuse.
A power vacuum will lead to the rise of angry, extremist groups who want to take revenge on the West. War, instability, and poverty in the region will lead to another migrant crisis in Europe.
It's all fun and games for Trump in sheltered Mar-a-Lago, but for millions of regular Iranians, Arabs, and Europeans, the effects of this conflict can have devastating consequences.